Early transmission risks of Ebola disease outbreak caused by Bundibugyo virus in the Democratic Republic of the Congo
Abstract
An outbreak of Ebola disease caused by Bundibugyo virus (BDBV) has been ongoing since April 2026, primarily in the Democratic Republic of the Congo. We estimated the initial reproduction number of BDBV at 1.85 (95% CrI: 1.09, 3.25), underscoring the urgent need for timely implementation of control measures to prevent widespread transmission.
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Authors: Zihao Guo, Yongdi Yu, Zhaojun Ding, Lirong Cao, Sheikh Taslim Ali, Zhuang Cui, Kai Wang, Marc K C Chong, Daihai He, Shi Zhao, Abdulrazaq G. Habib, Yuantao Hao
Institutions: University of Hong Kong, Tianjin Medical University, Peking University, Hong Kong Polytechnic University, Chinese University of Hong Kong, City University of Hong Kong, Xinjiang Medical University, Bayero University Kano, Hong Kong Jockey Club