Earth and Planetary Sciences · Atmospheric Science
A regional climate model projects that Mediterranean cyclones could become about one-third less frequent by the end of the 21st century under RCP8.5. Even so, extreme winds are projected to intensify across the western and eastern Mediterranean, while extreme cyclone-related rainfall increases in the west.
A study of tropical cyclone records from 1980 to 2025 finds that hazards along East Asia have shifted toward higher latitudes. The change reflects altered storm paths and movement speeds rather than a long-term increase in the storms’ maximum strength.
A climate-model study suggests that shallow convection and moisture buildup over the northern Indian Ocean contribute to the abrupt onset of the South Asian monsoon. In the simulations, shallow convection about 20 days before onset helped concentrate moist energy near 15°N and supported the circulation linked to monsoon onset.
New climate-model projections suggest that future productivity in major coastal upwelling regions will be shaped by more than changes in winds. The models disagree more with one another than they do across emissions scenarios, leaving the direction of change uncertain in many areas.
