Society & Economicspreprint2026-09-14

The Probability of My Existence: A Chain-Rule and Monte Carlo Model of a Family Story

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Abstract

Models a family story as a DAG; derives a closed-form chain-rule probability of one's existence and interprets the tiny result through anthropic reasoning and Gould's contingency thesis.

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View paper (DOI)Open access versionOpenAlexZenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)Published 2026-09-14

Authors: Amirhossein MoradiSizkouhi

Institutions: Imam Khomeini International University