Climate & Environmentarticle2026-08-27

Integrating Seismic and Environmental Hazard Factors into State Land Cadastral Valuation: A Case Study of the Bostandyk District, Almaty

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Abstract

Existing state cadastral land valuation methodologies often focus exclusively on economic factors while ignoring geo-environmental hazards. This paper proposes a mechanism for incorporating seismic risk indicators and environmental degradation into the cadastral model to improve pricing accuracy. Using four cadastral blocks in the Bostandyk District of Almaty as a case study, the authors applied MAVT and AHP methods, integrating seismic microzonation data and satellite monitoring (Sentinel-2, Landsat 8) to calculate a comprehensive risk coefficient (Krisk). According to spatial analysis data, the presence of natural hazards serves as a valid criterion for reducing the cadastral valuation of vulnerable land plots by 20–45%. The proposed methodology ensures a balance between market valuation and environmental safety, representing a scalable tool for urban land management in seismically active zones.

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Authors: Ruslan Kultemirov, Dinara Molzhigitova, Elmira Mursalimova, A. N. Zhildikbayeva, Бибигул Дабылова, Gulimshat Shakirova, Maxat Shakhabayev, Gulsim Aitkhozhayeva, Akerke Bekturganova