CMCC Foundation - Euro-Mediterranean Center on Climate Change

The Mediterranean Extreme Events Experiment and storm Harry in January 2026

Abstract The Global Observing System (GOS) includes drifting buoys with barometers whose surface pressure observations are essential for estimating the current state of the atmosphere and ocean for Numerical Weather Prediction. The Global Drifter Program, a scientific project bas...

Dispersal diversity buffers species vulnerability to local extinction

Abstract Predicting species persistence within ecological communities is a fundamental challenge for both empirical and theoretical ecology. Existing methods span from mechanistic models, whose parameters are difficult to estimate from data, to statistical tools whose context-spe...

Impacts of simulated coastal ocean alkalinity enhancement on the seasonal carbon cycle in European waters under a low- and a high-emission scenario

One potentially scalable method to remove CO 2 from the air is ocean alkalinity enhancement (OAE), which works to lower the ocean's CO 2 partial pressure ( p CO 2 ) and accelerate CO 2 sequestration and durable storage. This study explores how OAE might affect the seasonal carbon...

ShyBFM v1.0: unstructured grid advection-diffusion-reaction modelling for coastal biogeochemical processes

This study presents ShyBFM, a high-resolution coupled physical–biogeochemical modelling system based on an unstructured grid. The physical component is the parallel computing finite element, ocean circulation model SHYFEM-MPI, while the marine ecosystem is described through the B...

Marine Heat Waves and Cold Spells – Multiple Analysis/Definitions (MHW-MAD): A Multi-Definition Global Marine Heatwave Database from Satellite Sea Surface Temperature Data

Marine heatwaves (MHWs) are prolonged anomalies of warm sea surface temperature (SST) that can disrupt marine ecosystems, physical climate processes, and human coastal activities. MHW definitions vary due to different stakeholders requirements, such as ecological scientists and c...

Soil aridification, precipitation, and infant health: Evidence from Africa

While research has studied the effects of climate variation on child nutrition, the role of soil moisture and degradation in shaping child well-being remains relatively understudied. Combining climate and infant health data from Africa, we show that rainfall’s health benefits are...

Surface-cover controls on reference-to-actual evaporation in silty pyroclastic soils of Campania region, Italy: evidence from an 12-year lysimeter experiment

Study region pyroclastic soils investigated in this study are widespread on natural slopes, not only in Italy (particularly in the Campania region), but also in numerous volcanic regions worldwide. Their intrinsic and state-dependent properties make them highly sensitive to soil–...

From climate data to user-centered climate education: Stakeholder consultation in the development of the adaptation AGORA digital academy

Climate change education and citizen engagement are essential for advancing towards a climate-resilient society, promoting institutional, regulatory and policy transformation. Informal learning tools, particularly digital environments, play a crucial role in addressing this chall...

Extratropical teleconnections in a multi-model ensemble nudged towards the observed QBO

The Quasi-Biennial Oscillation (QBO), the dominant mode of interannual variability of monthly-mean zonal winds and temperatures in the equatorial stratosphere, has a significant influence on the circulation in other regions of the stratosphere and troposphere in boreal winter. To...

A Satellite‐Based Estimate of the Contribution of Filamentary Structures to Lateral Carbon Transport in the Pacific and Atlantic Upwelling Systems

Abstract Cross‐shelf interactions and the associated lateral transport of organic carbon remain poorly quantified and constrained by observations, despite their importance for the ocean carbon cycle. Filaments generated by instabilities of coastal currents are one pathway for thi...

The added value of Med-CORDEX coupled high-resolution regional climate models in representing sea surface temperature and marine heatwaves in the Mediterranean Sea

Marine heatwaves (MHWs) pose significant threats to Mediterranean marine ecosystems and coastal economies, with frequency and severity projected to increase under future climate change. While Med-CORDEX fully-coupled Regional Climate System Models (RCSMs) offer enhanced resolutio...

The carbon content of billionaire wealth: composition, concentration and taxation

Abstract How large are billionaires' carbon footprints? While increasing evidence highlights large disparities in emissions between and within countries, detailed individual‐level data on emissions portfolios remain scarce. In this paper, we analyse the wealth composition of the...

Quantifying atmospheric and land drivers of hot temperature extremes through explainable Artificial Intelligence

Abstract. Different drivers have been shown to play a central role in modulating the occurrence and intensity of summer temperature extremes, yet their individual contributions remain difficult to quantify. In this study, we develop an explainable machine‐learning framework to di...

Recent globally synchronous seasonal warm events unprecedented since 850 CE

Spatially synchronous extreme warm events can amplify environmental and societal impacts by affecting multiple regions simultaneously. However, previous studies have largely focused on June–August (JJA) events during the instrumental period, limiting understanding of their season...

Global harms, local profits: How the uneven costs of natural disasters affect support for green political platforms

Abstract Large‐scale fires are becoming increasingly common due to climate change. While conventional wisdom suggests that firsthand experiences with natural disasters foster green coalitions by raising awareness of environmental degradation, we propose an alternative view: Natur...

Storm surge dynamics in the northern Adriatic Sea: comparing AI emulators with high-resolution numerical simulations

Abstract. Accurate storm surge forecasting is vital for protecting coastal regions, particularly in the northern Adriatic Sea where sea-level rise and increasingly severe storm events pose growing risks. Machine Learning (ML) approaches offer compelling speed and flexibility, yet...