Roberto Cerina

Polling Without People: Can Silicon Samples of CASM-Inspired LLM Personae Mimic Human Respondents in Pre-Election Polling?

We introduce a framework for simulating pre-election survey responses with large language model (LLM) synthetic personae.Drawing on the Cognitive Aspects of Survey Methodology (CASM) literature, our approach combines synthetic biographies, salient-event memories and conditional n...