Society & Economicspreprint2026-09-07

Artificial Intelligence, Firm Productivity, and Macroeconomic Performance: A Systematic Evidence Synthesis and the AI Productivity Contingency Framework (AIPCF)

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Abstract

Systematic evidence synthesis proposing the AI Productivity Contingency Framework (AIPCF). Argues AI is not an automatic firm-productivity or GDP machine; gains depend on complements/intangibles, task content and the jagged technological frontier, firm heterogeneity and adoption, and macro measurement/diffusion/preparedness. PRISMA-oriented secondary literature synthesis; ~15,800 words; APA 7th.

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View paper (DOI)Open access versionOpenAlexZenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)Published 2026-09-07

Authors: Nick Bellino

Institutions: Bridge Pharma (United States)