Climate & Environmentpreprint2026-09-04

Generalized Systemic Resilience in High-Intensity Conflicts: Nonlocal Stochastic PDE Approach and Bifurcation Analysis

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Abstract

This repository contains the preprint and accompanying materials for the paper: "Generalized Systemic Resilience in High-Intensity Conflicts: Nonlocal Stochastic PDE Approach and Bifurcation Analysis". We introduce a General Theory of Systemic Resilience (GST) based on a system of nonlocal stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs), modeling the interaction between system complexity, adaptive lag, and tail risk. The work provides:- a functional-analytic SPDE framework for systemic resilience,- spectral and bifurcation analysis identifying collapse thresholds,- a cost functional capturing adaptive saturation effects,- a reproducible toy model illustrating phase transitions and heavy-tailed risk behavior. Included materials:- LaTeX source of the paper,- Python/Julia scripts for numerical simulations,- generated figures used in the manuscript. All results are fully reproducible via the provided code.

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View paper (DOI)Open access versionOpenAlexZenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)Published 2026-09-04

Authors: Zakir Amirov