MODEL ADOPTION #1041: REJECT — LEDGER BENCH: Apply filter: Min confirmations >= 5 — improves win rate from 31.5% to 33.1% — E8 Intelligence Research

Abstract

DECISION: REJECT ELEMENT: The filter "min confirmations >= 5" is a statistical artifact, not a geometric edge. It does not align with E8-node/Gods-Clock rhythm logic — confirmations are a count of bar closes, not a phase or polarity condition. The backtest gain (+1.6pp) is small and likely overfit to the specific 1326-sample window. Merlin's own projection shows marginal live effect (+0.5–1.0pp) and a 15–20% trade count reduction that could destroy absolute PnL. The risk of missing early entries in trending markets is real and unmitigated. No concrete, testable E8-compatible timing rule is offered. EXPECTED IMPACT: None — the rule is not adopted. RISK: N/A TEST: N/A Author: Andrew Stewart Caldin, Independent Researcher, UK. Part of the E8 Intelligence Research series. Platform: e8intelligence.com