FHAT Technical Note #007B: Prospective Secondary-Window Structural Analog Addendum — Reduced-Amplitude August 7 Analog, PPI Resistance-Field Risk, and 137/134 Support Architecture for SOXL on August 13, 2026
Abstract
This prospective addendum freezes the August 13, 2026 Secondary-Window scenarios for the Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X Shares (SOXL) after the August 12 close and before the 08:30 EDT release of the July Producer Price Index. The preferred structural analog is a reduced-amplitude version of the August 7 repair pattern. A repair attempt may progress through 144.00 and the 146.30–147.70 structural gate; however, the substantial upside velocity expended on August 12 and the newly created overhead supply make a full replication of the August 7 advance less likely. The analog therefore defines a conditionally bounded path rather than a mechanical percentage forecast. Resistance is registered as a series of layered structural fields: 142.80–144.00, 146.30–147.70, and 149.30–150.00. Above 150.00, the note preserves TN007A’s terminal taxonomy: 150.00–153.48 is the Ultimate-Wall Fear-Zone, with R3 at 152.63 treated as an internal reference; 153.49–153.87 is the Ultimate Resistance Wall; and trade above 153.87 is the Acceptance Zone. Support is registered at 141.60–142.30, 139.10–140.15, 136.80–138.10, and 133.20–134.80. The 136.80–138.10 First Foundation is anchored by the confluence of Daily MA120 at 137.30 and 5M MA500 at 137.09. The 133.20–134.80 Deep Structural Line is anchored by Daily MA21 at 134.27 and 1H MA500 at 134.05. Three prospective paths are defined: a reduced-amplitude August 7 repair; a PPI-driven rally followed by resistance-field rejection; and a PPI-driven decline followed by support-field classification. The note applies the FHAT Push–Consolidation–Direction sequence and separates the 08:30 EDT event impulse from the definitive structural choice. The pre-market spike or flush is classified as an unconfirmed volatility catalyst. The primary path is determined during the 09:30–10:00 EDT regular-session opening window through five-minute VWAP acceptance or rejection. Spatial penetration is not treated as structural acceptance without a five-minute close, hold, successful retest, and renewed expansion. TN007 and TN007A remain unchanged. TN007B supplies the prospective Secondary-Window rules for the final two-day reconciliation after the August 13 close. This document is for educational and research purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice or a securities recommendation.
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Authors: 韩英善