Society & Economicspreprint2026-08-09

MODEL ADOPTION #839: REJECT — LEDGER BENCH: Apply filter: Pool density HIGH (>=90) — improves win rate from 31.5% to 33. — E8 Intelligence Research

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Abstract

DECISION: REJECT ELEMENT: The filter "Pool density HIGH (>=90)" is not a concrete, testable edge compatible with E8 geometry timing — it is a statistical artifact from a backtest window that does not align with the rhythm logic of E8-node/Gods-Clock. The +1.5pp win-rate improvement is marginal (n=1315) and the live sample (n=4) is too small to validate. The filter would reject trades based on a pool metric that has no demonstrated causal link to FADE polarity or clock-phase alignment, risking regime-dependent degradation. EXPECTED IMPACT: Negligible or negative — the 15-25% reduction in trade count would likely offset the tiny win-rate gain, and the filter may reject high-quality low-density trades during trending regimes, reducing absolute profit. RISK: Overfitting to a specific market regime (e.g., high-density pools correlate with low-volatility ranges); the filter may fail in shifting conditions, and the rejection of low-density trades could remove profitable counter-trend en Author: Andrew Stewart Caldin, Independent Researcher, UK. Part of the E8 Intelligence Research series. Platform: e8intelligence.com

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View paper (DOI)Open access versionOpenAlexZenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)Published 2026-08-09

Authors: Andrew Stewart Caldin