Prediction of Global Systematic Orbital Residuals for Long-Period Comet C/2026 C1 Based on Real-Virtual Dual Field Theory 基于实-虚二元场理论预测长周期彗星C/2026 C1全域轨道系统性残差

Abstract

Abstract Conventional cometary dynamics adopts the Marsden outgassing model to describe non-gravitational perturbations, which entirely relies on ice sublimation. For heliocentric distance , cometary ice fully freezes and outgassing perturbations vanish, failing to explain permanent unidirectional lateral orbital offsets of Oort long-period comets. Based on the golden exponential decay axiom of Real-Virtual Dual Field (RVDT) theory, this paper adopts a scale-invariant decay constant , reconstructs all derivations with strict SI units to eliminate dimensional conflicts, and fully deduces virtual medium transverse drag dynamics.The well-measured comet C/2026 C1 is selected as the research target, with a small perihelion distance and extremely high orbital eccentricity. Its inner zone and outer zone serve as near and far theoretical test regions respectively. The comet reaches perihelion in November 2028, allowing high-precision astrometry; from 2026 to 2030, it stays within the inner Solar System, so its – aphelion segment (millions of years ago/future) cannot be observed, but full orbital integration separately calculates near and far virtual drag contributions.Strict second-order time integration is used to solve lateral orbital displacement, separating radial outgassing recoil and tangential virtual drag. The perihelion window yields observable systematic O-C residuals of , while the theoretical far-field peak residual at 132 AU equals . Total centennial perihelion drift superposing near and far torques is , dominated by near-field virtual drag.Combined with the near-field calibration of 1I/‘Oumuamua in RVDT-01, this paper forms dual cross-scale constraints proving is distance-independent. Marsden parameters cannot eliminate the fixed tangential systematic offset induced by virtual medium drag, providing a falsifiable astronomical prediction for the 2028 perihelion observation campaign.Keywords: Real-Virtual Dual Field Theory; Golden Exponential Decay; Virtual Medium Drag; Comet C/2026 C1; Orbital O-C Residuals; Long-Period Comets; Perihelion Precession; Non-Gravitational Perturbations 摘要 传统彗星动力学采用 Marsden 喷流模型描述非引力扰动,该效应完全依赖彗冰升华,当日心距离,彗核冰层完全冻结,喷流扰动趋近于零,无法解释奥尔特长周期彗星全域固定单向轨道偏移。本文基于实 - 虚二元场(RVDT)黄金指数衰减公理,采用跨尺度统一衰减常数,严格采用 SI 标准单位完成全部推导,消除混合单位量纲矛盾,完整推导虚介质横向拖拽动力学。选取实测轨道彗星 C/2026 C1 为研究对象,该彗星近日距,轨道偏心率极高,近日区域与远场分别构成近、远两大理论检验区。2028 年 11 月彗星抵达近日点,可开展高精度天体测量;2026–2030 彗星始终处于内太阳系,无法观测其百万年前 / 后的 120–150 AU 远拱点轨道,但可通过全域轨道积分分别计算近、远场虚场扰动贡献。严格二阶运动积分求解轨道横向偏移,区分喷流径向反冲与虚介质切向拖拽两类非引力机制:近日带可观测单向 O-C 残差,远场 132 AU 峰值理论残差;全域叠加近、远场力矩得到百年尺度总近日漂移,其中近场虚拖拽贡献为主导项。本文与 RVDT-01 奥陌陌近场观测标定形成双重跨尺度约束,统一近地 1 AU 与外太阳系百 AU 动力学,无尺度依赖性;喷流参数无法消除虚场带来固定切向系统偏移,2028 年近日观测提供可证伪天文预言。关键词:实 - 虚二元场;黄金指数衰减;虚介质拖拽;C/2026 C1;轨道 O-C 残差;长周期彗星;近日点进动;非引力扰动