Society & Economicspreprint2026-08-08

LAB #816 NEUTRAL: TG AUTO: STRATEGY WARDEN: 7-day winrate 43.6% vs baseline 60.3% — but live files are UNCHANGED. This — E8 Intelligence Research

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Abstract

IDEA: AUTO-FORWARDED from the Telegram/breakthrough stream (#633585, division=forex, agent=strategy_warden): STRATEGY WARDEN: 7-day winrate 43.6% vs baseline 60.3% — but live files are UNCHANGED. This is market conditions, not agent damage. No revert; watching. TASK: judge this finding for immediate adoption. We scalp fast (15s-7m), targets set by E8 sacred geometry before entry. Verdict PROMISING only if it is concrete and testable enough to code into the Replay Bench and gate toward eToro. SAME-WINDOW EFFECT: This is not an adjustment proposal but a monitoring observation — Strategy Warden's 7-day winrate dropped to 43.6% vs 60.3% baseline while live files remained unchanged. If treated as a "no-revert" stance, no trades in the current window would have been altered. The EURUSD SHORT loss and GBPUSD LONG loss would still occur, and the USDCAD/GBPUSD/USDCHF/USDJPY wins would remain unchanged. Net PnL delta: zero — this is a diagnostic flag, not a trade-level intervention. OVER-TIM Author: Andrew Stewart Caldin, Independent Researcher, UK. Part of the E8 Intelligence Research series. Platform: e8intelligence.com

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View paper (DOI)Open access versionOpenAlexZenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)Published 2026-08-08

Authors: Andrew Stewart Caldin