OSG Consortium

Day-Ahead Load Forecast Accuracy of U.S. Balancing Authorities, 2015–2026: A Scorecard from Public EIA-930 Data (Cardinal Grid Notes, No. 1)

Balancing authorities in the contiguous United States report to the U.S. Energy Information Administration, through Form EIA-930, both the hourly demand that occurred and the day-ahead demand forecast they produced the previous day. This note scores those forecasts for the full p...

Seven Daily Profiles, Three, or None? Weekday, Day Type and Weather in the Daily Load Shape of U.S. Balancing Authorities (Cardinal Grid Notes, No. 2)

Methods that work on electricity load series rely on a notion of the typical daily profile, and practice differs on how many to keep: one per weekday, or one per day type (workday, Saturday, Sunday) with a list of special days. This note compares the alternatives on the public EI...

Seven Daily Profiles, Three, or None? Weekday, Day Type and Weather in the Daily Load Shape of U.S. Balancing Authorities (Cardinal Grid Notes, No. 2)

Methods that work on electricity load series rely on a notion of the typical daily profile, and practice differs on how many to keep: one per weekday, or one per day type (workday, Saturday, Sunday) with a list of special days. This note compares the alternatives on the public EI...