Centre of Natural Hazards and Disaster Science

Climate Adaptation as Politics under Hybrid Governance: Risk Redistribution and Local Authority Resilience in Sweden

Abstract Climate change increasingly generates conditions of persistent governance turbulence, placing growing demands on local authorities as frontline risk managers while simultaneously exposing them to new forms of vulnerability. Despite extensive knowledge about climate risks...

Forecasting European temperature-related mortality in Summer 2024: data-driven vs. physics-based forecast approaches

Heat has emerged as a major public health concern. Over 62 000 heat-related deaths were estimated to have occurred during the European summer of 2024, exemplifying the pressing need to develop effective early warning systems. Such systems depend critically on the quality of the u...

Process-oriented evaluation of machine learning and physics-based models for wave parameter prediction under extreme conditions in a fetch-limited sea

Machine learning approaches are increasingly used for wave prediction, yet their ability to represent the physical processes governing extreme waves in fetch-limited seas remains insufficiently understood. This study evaluates four machine learning models for reconstructing signi...