Armenian State Pedagogical University after Khachatur Abovian

Robust Causal Inference in Financial Markets: A Bayesian Activation–Inhibition Noisy-OR (BAINOR) Framework

The noisy-OR (NOR) model provides a computationally efficient representation of systems with multiple interacting causes, yet its classical formulation is limited in financial applications. Causal probabilities are typically expert elicited, assumed constant across observations,...