Yongzhu Liu

Multi-Horizon Typhoon Wind Field Prediction via a Lightweight CNN–LSTM Network: Error Growth and Cross-Year Robustness at 6–24 h Lead Times

Short-term typhoon wind-field prediction across multiple lead times is challenging because forecast error grows with lead time and inappropriate sample construction may leak future storm-position information. We adopt STL-Net, a lightweight spatiotemporal framework integrating co...

Capturing Typhoon Rapid Intensification and Abrupt Recurvature Using an IAU‐Based 4DVar Scheme

Abstract Dynamic imbalances in model initialization severely constrain the predictability of the rapid intensification (RI) and abrupt track recurvature of tropical cyclones (TCs). In this study, the effectiveness of an incremental analysis update (IAU)‐based four‐dimensional var...