Vijay Jyotish

Sealed Before the Event: A Publicly Verifiable, Bitcoin-Anchored Forecast Record of 92 Graded Outcomes, with a Source-Agnostic Protocol for Scoring Unexplainable Forecast Sources

<ns5:p> Background Public prediction records are hard to evaluate: posts can be edited or deleted, and even honest records rarely separate anteriority (did this exact claim exist unchanged before the event?) from skill (do the claims carry predictive information?). A motivating c...