Soumyadeep Roy

A fairness audit of the Duckworth–Lewis–Stern method: format-specific and gender-differential bias, with an interpretable calibration layer for cricket target revision

Abstract The Duckworth–Lewis–Stern (DLS) method has set revised targets in rain-interrupted limited-overs cricket since 1999, yet no large-scale empirical audit of its prediction bias has been published. Using ball-by-ball data for 8,150 international matches from Cricsheet, we a...