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Projection of Heating and Cooling Degree Days in Ankara Under Climate Change Using ERA5-Land and Bias-Corrected CMIP6 Models: A Multi-Threshold Approach

Climate change is shifting building thermal demand from heating toward cooling, yet quantitative, design-relevant projections for semi-arid continental cities remain scarce. This study projects heating and cooling degree days (HDDs and CDDs) for Ankara, Türkiye, using ERA5-Land a...