Pavithra Shetty

Modeling and Forecasting Influenza Outbreaks: A Robust Laplace-ARDL Framework vs. Deep Learning LSTM for Epidemiological Surveillance

Accurate forecasts of seasonal influenza are imperative to successfully manage public health resources. However, epidemiological time series data often show significant spiky volatility along with heavy-tailed distributions that do not satisfy the normality assumption required by...