Myomin Aung

Strategic Abductive Forecasting (SAF) v1.0: A Unified Probabilistic Framework for Forecasting Systems with Strategic Agents – Compendium of Specification, Theory, Forecasts, and Validation

This compendium presents the complete specification, mathematical theory, prospective forecasts, and synthetic validation results for Strategic Abductive Forecasting (SAF) v1.0. SAF is a unified hierarchical Bayesian framework that integrates Information Theory (MDL), Bounded-Rat...