Mika Rantanen

Estimating present temperature climate in a warming world: probabilistic verification of a model-based approach for years 2008–2025

Abstract When climate changes, statistics derived from past observations become unrepresentative of the true present climate. In 2008, Räisänen and Ruokolainen proposed a model-based method for alleviating this bias. Here, the fidelity of this method in predicting the probability...