Huda Aldhahi

Regime-Dependent Predictability of Cryptocurrency Distress: Cross-Sectional Evidence from Two Exchanges

Can the distress of a cryptocurrency be predicted from its market behavior, and is that predictability reliable when it matters most? Using daily data for 609 USD-quoted coins traded on Kraken between 2013 and 2025, we built a survivorship-inclusive coin-quarter panel and model t...