Hongzhong Fan

Assessing China’s COVID-19 control measures: a quantitative analysis based on a SIRD model

Abstract This paper established a Susceptible-Infected-Recovered-Dead (SIRD) model to fit and predict the COVID-19 epidemic in China. On the premise of passing the Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) robustness check, we counterfactually assessed the effectiveness of partial unlockin...