Brand Karroçi

Forecasting and Structural-Break Characterisation of Water Cut in a Mature Heavy Oil Field: A Multi-Regime Analysis of the Gorisht-Kocul System (2000–2016)

This study characterises and forecasts monthly water cut in the mature Gorisht-Kocul heavy oil field of southern Albania across 204 monthly observations spanning 2000 to 2016. The record is held in two parallel sets of archival year tables, and a physical-consistency framework bu...